UPDATE 08-07-2010
As all should know by now. They finally shut in the well. They now have tested long enough to know that there is nothing wrong with well integrity as I predicted would be the case. The currant plan going forward is to do a static kill on the well followed up with a bottom kill and cement job. Which has sealed the well up forever. I have a two fold problem with that. It goes like this. You may remember that early on in this disaster I was pretty upset about the fact that I had concluded that because nothing that they had attempted in the way of stopping the leak would work because they were all nonsensical plans and I stated that they were doing everything they could to keep from causing any harm to the well as they had plans to save it. The fact the the BP officials adopted the failed IKSTOK spill containment playbook supports my contention. Well all that changed when BP donated the net profits that may accrue out of the MCcondo 252 # 1 well to the "WILDLIFE HABITAT ACCOUNT". The minute they did that they shot themselves in the foot. Ask yourself this question. Why would they make such a gesture if they knew that it would have absolutely no chance of ever making a dime in profits? Up until that moment they knew as well as I that there was nothing wrong with that well. Furthermore I find it almost laughable watching BP's COO Doug Sutter in two different press interviews today 07-08-2010 when asked about what plans BP had going forward regarding the two relief wells fall all over himself trying to play down BP's intent to take the relief wells to production. stating how “IT'S ALWAYS BEEN OUR INTENTION TO PLUG AND ABANDON THE MC252#1 WELL” How can you hope to make any kind of profits from a well that you always intended to plug and abandon? If your intention was to plug and abandon. Why bother giving the well to the people? You just can't have it both ways BP. It's been stated, that well cost 1.2 billion dollars to drill. Why would you throw that money away when spending another million would save the well.? There is an answer to that question. It goes something like this. While the explosion fire and sinking of the Horizon was unanticipated and caught the BP bunch with their pants down. The decisions they made afterwords pretty should show to the world and the rest of drilling industry at large one very simple truth. You don't let college educated
businessmen, actuaries, ceo's and coo's make the decisions in an emergency such as this one. You use the talents and knowledge of your best drillers and tool pushers to fix things like this. A good pusher or driller would have been run off were they to have chosen the failed IKSTOK blueprints. They would have gone to the Best Practices Binder and set in motion the installation of the valves required to shut in that well at the outset of this mess. The reason they would have done that is because it's the roughnecks drillers and pushers that create the “Best Practices Binder” And they know what's in it. They also know what is in the JSA file folder as they create those as well. And that brings us back to the current state of affairs. As far as I am concerned those of you people that were in the decision making tier of this fiasco need consult with a criminal attorney. Why you ask? The answer is a simple as this. Because you chose to waste days, weeks, and months on proceeding thru all four parts of the adopted IKSTOK containment playbook. Untold, unnecessary damage was done not only to the people and eco systems of the Gulf of Mexico. You also attacked the mental well being of a major part of the citizens of this planet. Me included. And in one case the unnecessary damage to the gulf caused a man to take out a pistol and end his own life. Here in California they call that “Involuntary Manslaughter”
And to add insult to injury you have fucked the American people out of what appeared at the time the only non greedy thing that could have been derived from this disaster by destroying that well with cement. Should you take exception to that try this on for size. Donate one of the two remaining holes to that same fund. I'm sure there would be no problem getting to finish them if you did that. Show us what your made of. I dare ya. I didn't think so.
Proceeding on with the bottom kill is rubbish and unnecessary. But because they have shot themselves in the other foot by making Admiral Allen and all those scientists and professors believe that doing all that is necessary to make sure that well is shut in forever. It's already shut in forever. When you hear words like “RUPTURED WELL” and so on in news reports. Where do those descriptors come from? Like our money. They are just made up and plucked out of thin air. Until BP pumped cement into that hole which has drill pipe still in it. There was nothing wrong with that hole that four or five days worth of work wouldn't have fixed. Namely just the removal of that leftover drill pipe and a bottoms up sweep. That just means flushing any sand, rocks etc out of the hole by circulating mud .which would also remove any that may have settled back to bottom once they shut the well in. The fact that the well flowed as it did and they were able to push the oil and gas back down into the reserve also eliminates the the excuse for not going after the drill pipe because it might be stuck. Everything that came out of that hole had to pass by and thru that leftover pipe. Which means the six or ten feet of well bore below where the final casing string ended was also nice and clean and unrestricted.
Some people scoffed at me when I stated in my video that it was all about the "RELIEF WELLS" I was right as rain. And here is why I say that. Those that have followed this event closely will have noticed that in the beginning when the subject of killing the MC252#1 Was talked about you never heard the statements or words like "SEALING IT UP FOREVER" OR "KILLING WITH CEMENT SO THAT IT'S SHUT IN FOREVER" ETC. ETC. The original plan was to drill into the reserve and start producing the well and thereby bleeding off the pressure that was driving the offending well. That then morphed into. We are going to intercept the hole at the bottom and pump heavy mud in from the bottom until enough got into the well to hold down the oil and gas and thus kill the well.. Words like cement and forever in the same sentence didn't show up until after BP gave the net proceeds from MC252#1 to the American people in the form of that habitat fund. How generous was that I ask you? Well lets see. First it's now pretty much a forgone conclusion that a lot of the over hyped pressure that the well displayed early on has in fact diminished. Which means two things. One the well may not be quite the glory hole it was said to be. And two. Because BP gave away any possible profits it might generate. That well now is in direct competition with the other two they hope to take to production. One doesn't have to be the brightest kid on the block to figure out that now after all this time. We hear words like "KILL THE WELL FOREVER WITH CEMENT" and all the other ways they say the same thing that it's now to BP's advantage to do just that. How fucking sad. Especially when now that the well is properly shut in there is no reason to kill the well forever because there is nothing wrong with it that couldn't be fixed in less than 5 days. This is all it would take. First they have to do the "STATIC KILL" with heavy mud. Once that is done they can open the well back up and drop in a drill string with an overshot fishing tool attached instead of a drill bit and retrieve the drill pipe that was left in the hole at the time the explosion happened. Once that is done they go back in the hole with a drill bit and do what is known as bottoms up sweep. Simply means flush out and unwanted stuff that may have gotten into the well as it was flowing. Rocks, sand etc. At that point Halliburton gets to do what they wanted to do In the First place before over ruled by the company man install the required plugs. Once that's done The drill rig pulls off the BOP and heads off to the next well they are going to drill and a production rig comes in and completes the well properly. And the Wild life fund would actually wind up with a bunch of money in it for future use. Unfortunately that will not happen because BP has Admiral Allen convinced that the well needs to be killed forever. Which is simply Bullshit. One really can't blame BP too much as this mess has really cost them. One can almost feel sorry for them.. NOT!. There is no reason to destroy a perfectly good well now that they have got it shut in. Other than BP not wanting really to be as GENEROUS as that good will offering they made implied. Unless this gets to Ad. Allen, the Prez or somebody else with power to stop the cementing in of that well. on Monday. It will be too late. Simply because once they pump in cement and that drill pipe is left downhole that well will be done forever. Cement you can drill thru. Drill pipe and "BHA", means "Bottom Hole Assembly", you can not.
UPDATE
07-20-2010
I'M JUST NOT UNDERSTANDING WHY THE POWERS THAT BE JUST DON'T GET IT.
THEY ARE OVER THINKING EVERYTHING. KILLING THAT WELL IS A ROUTINE OPERATION. HOW TO DO IT. IS IN ANY WELL CONTROL CLASS BOOK. EVERY DRILLER,TOOL PUSHER,CONSULTANT,COMPANY MAN, AND ASSISTANT DRILLER KNOWS THAT ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS START PUMPING MUD AT THE KILL LINE.UNTIL THE PRESSURE ON THE PUMP SIDE OF THE KILL LINE VALVE EQUALS THE STATIC PRESSURE ON THE WELL SIDE. THEN OPEN THE KILL LINE AND ADD ANOTHER 100 PSI. TO THE MUD IMPUT SIDE BY INCREASING MUD PUMP REVOLUTIONS AND WHILE IT MIGHT TAKE A LITTLE WHILE. THAT MUD WILL SETTLE TO THE BOTTOM AND PILE UP UNTIL IT WILL HOLD DOWN THE GAS AND OIL. AT WHICH POINT THE PUMPS CAN BE SLOWED DOWN AND STOPPED. WITH 20 EXTRA BARRELS SITTING ON TOP. THE WELL WILL ACTUALLY BEGIN TO LOSE PRESSURE. AS THE MUD WEIGHT WILL PUSH THE OIL AND GAS BACK INTO THE FORMATION IT CAME FROM. ALL THAT CAN BE DONE WITHOUT SHOCKING THE CASING AND BORE. WERE THEY TO GO AHEAD AND HOOK UP THE ENTERPRISE WITH A NEW RISER ATTACHED TO THE TOP OF THE "CAPPER STACK" THEY WOULD BASICALLY BE RIGHT BACK WHERE THEY WERE BEFORE THEY TOOK THE KICK. BUT WITH THE ADDED ADVANTAGE OF HAVING WORKING BOP. IF THEY ARE REALLY WORRIED ABOUT WELL INTEGRITY. WITH THE RISER HOOKED BACK UP. THEY COULD IF DESIRED EVEN BLEED OFF A LITTLE PRESSURE AS THEY PUMP IN THE MUD BY SLIGHTLY CRACKING OPEN THE CHOKE LINE. THOSE BP GUYS KNOW THIS. I'M THINKING THAT AT THIS POINT ALL THE NON OIL FIELD PEOPLE ARE NOW THE PROBLEM. MEANING THE GOVT. EXPERTS, PROFESSORS, ETC. HEY HERE'S A SUGGESTION. SEND ONE OF THOSE EXPERTS TO THE RIG MANAGER AND HAVE THEM GET THE KEY TO THE "V' DOOR. ONCE THEY OBSERVED WHAT WAS BEHIND THAT DOOR THEY MIGHT HAVE A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE WAY OF THINGS IN THE OIL PATCH. LOSING WELL CONTROL HAPPENS DAILY MANY TIMES SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD. AND IT DOESN'T REQUIRE RELIEF WELLS TO GET IT BACK. GEEESH.!
LETS TAKE COMMON SENSE A LITTLE FURTHER. FOOD FOR THOUGHT.
07-20-2010
I'M JUST NOT UNDERSTANDING WHY THE POWERS THAT BE JUST DON'T GET IT.
THEY ARE OVER THINKING EVERYTHING. KILLING THAT WELL IS A ROUTINE OPERATION. HOW TO DO IT. IS IN ANY WELL CONTROL CLASS BOOK. EVERY DRILLER,TOOL PUSHER,CONSULTANT,COMPANY MAN, AND ASSISTANT DRILLER KNOWS THAT ALL YOU HAVE TO DO IS START PUMPING MUD AT THE KILL LINE.UNTIL THE PRESSURE ON THE PUMP SIDE OF THE KILL LINE VALVE EQUALS THE STATIC PRESSURE ON THE WELL SIDE. THEN OPEN THE KILL LINE AND ADD ANOTHER 100 PSI. TO THE MUD IMPUT SIDE BY INCREASING MUD PUMP REVOLUTIONS AND WHILE IT MIGHT TAKE A LITTLE WHILE. THAT MUD WILL SETTLE TO THE BOTTOM AND PILE UP UNTIL IT WILL HOLD DOWN THE GAS AND OIL. AT WHICH POINT THE PUMPS CAN BE SLOWED DOWN AND STOPPED. WITH 20 EXTRA BARRELS SITTING ON TOP. THE WELL WILL ACTUALLY BEGIN TO LOSE PRESSURE. AS THE MUD WEIGHT WILL PUSH THE OIL AND GAS BACK INTO THE FORMATION IT CAME FROM. ALL THAT CAN BE DONE WITHOUT SHOCKING THE CASING AND BORE. WERE THEY TO GO AHEAD AND HOOK UP THE ENTERPRISE WITH A NEW RISER ATTACHED TO THE TOP OF THE "CAPPER STACK" THEY WOULD BASICALLY BE RIGHT BACK WHERE THEY WERE BEFORE THEY TOOK THE KICK. BUT WITH THE ADDED ADVANTAGE OF HAVING WORKING BOP. IF THEY ARE REALLY WORRIED ABOUT WELL INTEGRITY. WITH THE RISER HOOKED BACK UP. THEY COULD IF DESIRED EVEN BLEED OFF A LITTLE PRESSURE AS THEY PUMP IN THE MUD BY SLIGHTLY CRACKING OPEN THE CHOKE LINE. THOSE BP GUYS KNOW THIS. I'M THINKING THAT AT THIS POINT ALL THE NON OIL FIELD PEOPLE ARE NOW THE PROBLEM. MEANING THE GOVT. EXPERTS, PROFESSORS, ETC. HEY HERE'S A SUGGESTION. SEND ONE OF THOSE EXPERTS TO THE RIG MANAGER AND HAVE THEM GET THE KEY TO THE "V' DOOR. ONCE THEY OBSERVED WHAT WAS BEHIND THAT DOOR THEY MIGHT HAVE A BETTER UNDERSTANDING OF THE WAY OF THINGS IN THE OIL PATCH. LOSING WELL CONTROL HAPPENS DAILY MANY TIMES SOMEWHERE IN THE WORLD. AND IT DOESN'T REQUIRE RELIEF WELLS TO GET IT BACK. GEEESH.!
LETS TAKE COMMON SENSE A LITTLE FURTHER. FOOD FOR THOUGHT.
THIS EVENT HAS BEEN A MAJOR WAKEUP CALL FOR THE WORLD AT LARGE. ESPECIALLY HERE IN THE STATES. ANY SANE PERSON WOULD SEE THE REASON IN LEARNING FROM THIS DISASTER AND THE NEED FOR A FULL ON CHARGE AT CLEANER RENEWABLE ENERGY. IT'S WAY OVERDUE. WE AS AMERICANS HAVE BEEN SPOILED AND SELFISH. WE HAVE CONSUMED MORE THAN OUR SHARE OF ALL OF THE WORLDS RESOURCES. THAT SAID. THE REALITY OF THE MATTER DICTATES THE CONTINUED USE OF PETRO CHEMICALS FOR A WHILE LONGER. BECAUSE OF THE STATE OF OUR ECONOMY, RIGHT NOW IS NOT THE TIME TO ADD INSULT TO INJURY BY WASTING MONTHS OF TIME WITH CONGRESSIONAL HEARINGS AND AND NEW LEGISLATION WHERE THE OIL INDUSTRY IS CONCERNED. THE LOST JOBS NATIONWIDE BECAUSE OF PERMIT REVOCATIONS AND SUCH IS JUST GOING TO MAKE IT HARDER TO BRING OUR ECONOMY BACK TO LIFE. ALL IT TAKES TO INSURE THAT SOMETHING LIKE THIS EVENT NEVER HAPPENS AGAIN CAN BE BROUGHT ABOUT WITH THE STROKE OF THE PRESIDENT INK PEN. IT'S REALLY QUITE SIMPLE. WHEN A PERMIT TO DRILL IS APPLIED FOR.
THE DRILLING INTERESTS JUST HAVE TO KNOW THAT SHOULD THIS KIND OF THING HAPPEN AGAIN. YES THEY WILL BE MADE TO MAKE EVERYTHING RIGHT. BUT THERE WILL BE ONE CHANGE IN THE COST OF DOING BUSINESS IN US WATERS. AND THAT IS AS FOLLOWS. YES MR. DRILLING COMPANY YOU WILL GET TO DRILL RELIEF WELLS IF NECESSARY BUT. UPON COMPLETION OF THEIR PRIMARY MISSION TO WIT. STOPPING THE FLOW FROM AN OUT OF CONTROL WELL. YOU WILL BE REQUIRED TO COMPLETE AND BRING TO PRODUCTION AS WELL AS MAINTAIN SAID WELLS UNTIL THOSE WELLS ARE DEPLETED. ALL NET REVENUES WILL BE DEPOSITED INTO THE WILDLIFE FUND CREATED BY BRITISH PETROLEUM BECAUSE OF THE MC252#1 SPILL.
WITH THAT KIND OF INCENTIVE I FIND IT HIGHLY UNLIKELY THAT ANY PORTION OF A SIMILAR EVENT WILL HAVE DEFECTIVE BOP AS ONE OF IT'S ROOT CAUSES. THE PRACTICE OF REUSING BOP FROM WELL TO WELL WITHOUT REFURBISHING IN BETWEEN WILL BE OVER. THE ATTITUDE "IT WILL BE OK" WHEN NOTIFIED BY A HAND THAT THERE IS A PROBLEM WITH THE BOP OR ANY RELATED MACHINERY CAPABLE OF ADDING TO AN EVENT SUCH AS THIS DISASTER WILL BE A THING OF THE PAST.
THAT SIMPLE INCLUSION INTO THE APPLICATION TO DRILL WILL DO MORE TO CURB THIS KIND OF EVENT THAN THREE WATCHDOG AGENCIES. AND COST NOTHING TO IMPLIMENT.
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